Market Intelligence

Technical Analysis

Securities analysis broadly is divided into two approaches: fundamental or technical. MetaTech transcends both.

Fundamental vs. Technical

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysts study a company, its management, its products, competitors, and economic trends. Based on their study, they come to a point of view as to whether the stock is overpriced or underpriced, and they use this evaluation to buy or sell a stock.

Technical Analysis

Technical traders disregard these "fundamentals". They embrace the notion, which comes from the efficient market theory of economics, that such information is reflected very quickly in securities prices. Instead, technical traders look at price activity for trends generated by traders.

Some popular examples: Flags, pennants, head & shoulders, and other geometrics; Trendlines, channels, support, resistance, gaps; Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci ratios, moving averages, relative strength index.

The MetaTech Approach

While we respect both fundamental and technical analysis, essentially we disregard both, except to the extent that patterns they generate are detected using artificial intelligence techniques. So, while MetaTech does not take a position on the fundamental vs. technical analysis question, paradoxically they both contribute to our success.

MetaTech transcends all the discretely defined patterns. By matching historic patterns with current patterns, MetaTech essentially accomplishes what all traditional technical analyses might do together. So whether those technical trades work or don't work is not important. What is important is that many technical traders are vigorously participating in the markets, leaving their own imprints on price history. MetaTech is uniquely set up to identify and capitalize on all that activity.

Of course, fundamental forces can overwhelm technical forces on some days, and MetaTech positions can be significantly affected by these news stories and world events. That is one reason why we don't achieve profitability on all trades.

Professional trading desk with multiple monitors showing financial market data
MetaTech vs. Traditional Technical Trading

Despite the appearance of a lot of technology at a typical trading desk, the approach of visually scanning charts is primitive. Following charts and looking for patterns is an old technique, and it is labor-intensive. Some technical traders have automated their techniques to an extent. But MetaTech goes far beyond those arrangements. That is because every technical system is some finite combination of the traditional techniques. Which ones are valid out of the hundreds available? It's hard to say. MetaTech transcends this issue because it uses pattern matching techniques which are sensitive to any and all technical methods.

The Hierarchy of Technical Trading

MetaTech occupies a unique middle tier in the hierarchy of technical traders.

Top Level

Big Trading Houses

Firms such as Virtu and Citadel. Their staffs encompass thousands of programmers and analysts. An outsider cannot gain access to, or make sense of, what goes on inside these firms.

Middle Tier — The Sweet Spot

MetaTech

Our technology is sophisticated, while at the same time it is easy to use and manage. We occupy the sweet spot between institutional complexity and manual chart-reading.

Lowest Level

Primitive Traders

Individuals and firms who study charts and use some combination of the well-known technical approaches. Mostly, they enter orders on a keyboard.

The risk of loss in trading futures or stocks is substantial, and each investor or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Whether based on actual results or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, past performance does not indicate future results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that MetaTech Trading Co. believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.

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